The 86th academy awards will be no different than in years past. They will not take many risks, will go for most popular or trendy, and delve out Oscars to the movies they think the public liked the most.
Usually if a movie like '12 Years a Slave' is a contender, Oscar likes to pick it foereerything, so if it starts out that way, it will win best picture.
An action picture like Gravity may get the popular vote and if they liked Bullock she may get actress, but she also may not.
Oscar doesn't usually like action pictures.
American Hustle is going to muscle in on the Oscars this year because Dallas Buyers Club and Wolf of Wall Street just weren't as cool.
Best supporting actress could go to Lupita Nyogo of 12 Years, and if she does get it, the movie may get best picture.
If no, our choice will be Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle. But Hustle will not win picture. It is trendy but not likely due to it not being controversial or scary.
12 years a slave is a dark drama, not reviwed, and will likely take most of the night, if supporting categories go to it. Oscar loves dark drama.
Blue Jasmine and Osange County aren't popular enough to win anything, although it's possible that Kate Blanchett could win best actress. Gravity was a fine action movie but cinema darling Sandra Bullock winning would spin the Oscar a bit too much to the left.
If Bullock wins then Best Picture will be Gravity. That would be unusual.
Blanchett will win. Blue Jasmine is another dreary drama, not reviwed.
Matthew McConaughey of Dallas Buyers Club could win, but that movie is not popular, and not reviewed, so we're going to go with Christian Bale for the upset. American Hustle will walk away with actor, even if it doesn't win picture.
Best director may be Alphsono Cauron for Gravity but if it is Steve McQueen for 12 years a Salve, it will decide best picture.
Cuaron has a good chance of winning director. Slave has a bit too much baggage.
If Guaron wins, Gravity wins best picture,
The Oscar guys might throw a curveball though and give 12 Years a Slave best picture, wich would be making an unpopular movie best picture, and that hasn't happened in a while. (Slumdog Millionare anyone)?
The best picture will also likely be 7 bucks on the bargain bin next Christmas.
Does anyone even care what the winner was last year?
We will see tonight.
Update:
Jarod Leto has won best supporting actor for Dallas Buyer's Club.
Lupita Nyongo has won best supporting actress for 12 years a slave. Movie may be contender for best picture.
The Great Gatsby has taken costume.
Gravity has taken sound mixing, editing, score and special effects.
Frozen has won for animated movie and for song.
12 Years a Slave has won for adapted screenplay.
Her has won for screenplay.
Best director is Alphonso Cauron for Gravity.
Makeup, Dallas Buyers Club, really? Why? No idea.
Best Actress goes to Kate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine.
Gravity wins for Music.
Best Actor goes to Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyer's Club.
Production design goes to The Great Gatsby.
Knowing they would never give best picture to another action scifri flick, and they love dramas about slavery, they have...
Best picture of 2013....12 Years a Slave.
Note it's now 2014 but these are 2013 movies. Confusing yes.
They weren't going to go for Dallas Buyer's Club.
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